IV.a. Housing Supply Target Methodology for Development Planning (S 28 Guidelines)

Carlow County Council

Annual Average Households)

Total Households

A

ESRI NPF Scenario projected new household demand 2017 to Q2 2028

350 (4,025/11.5)

4025^A1

(Includes figure for 2028)

B

Actual Housing supply 2017 to Q2 2022

2017-2020 = 713 units = 178 ave

Include additional 1.5 *195 for 2021 and Q1 and Q2 2022 = 293

155

(1006/6.5)

1006

C

Homeless Households

N/A

57^C

D

Plan Housing Demand (A-B) + C

Q3, 2022 - Q2, 2028 (6 years)

(3076/6yrs)

513

3,076

E

Potential Adjustment 1 to end 2026 portion of plan period

Mid-point between ESRI NPF and baseline scenarios to 2026 in lieu of A above

Adjusted Total Demand

E1

ESRI Baseline Scenario projected new household demand 2017 to Q4 2026

390 (3897/10)

3897 (Total baseline

from 2017 to 2026)¹

E2

ESRI NPF Scenario projected new household demand 2028

380

190

E3

Midpoint between A-E2

387 (3,866/10)

(A-E2+E1/2)

(4025-190+3897) /2 =

3866

E4

Adjusted Total Plan Demand calculation based on E2 + E3 in lieu of A abo

518 (3,107/6)

E2 + E3-B +C 190+3866-1006+57 =

3,107

F

Not applicable